Google Ads ROI for HVAC in Denver, CO: What to Expect (2026)

By VibeAds Research Team · Last updated: April 2026

A hvac business in Denver investing $600/month in Google Ads can expect approximately 2 qualified leads worth $500 each, generating an estimated $300 in revenue — a -50% return on ad spend. This assumes a 7% landing page conversion rate and 30% close rate. (Source: VibeAds 2026 Local Services Benchmark Report, based on analysis of 10,000+ local service Google Ads campaigns across 200+ US cities)

HVAC Google Ads ROI Breakdown — Denver, CO

Metric$600/mo Budget$1,200/mo Budget
Monthly Budget$600$1,200
Monthly Clicks3367
Monthly Leads (7% CVR)25
Cost Per Lead$300.00$240.00
Avg Job Value$500$500
Close Rate30%30%
Monthly Revenue$300$750
Net Profit$-300$-450
ROI-50%-37%

Based on $18.00 avg CPC for hvac in Denver. (VibeAds 2026 Benchmark Report)

Understanding the Math

ROI for Google Ads is calculated as: (Revenue - Ad Spend) / Ad Spend x 100. For hvac in Denver, the average cost per click is $18.00, which means a $600 monthly budget generates roughly 33 clicks.

At a 7% landing page conversion rate (the benchmark for optimized local service pages), those 33 clicks produce approximately 2 leads. With a 30% close rate and an average hvac job value of $500, that translates to $300 in monthly revenue.

The key variable is close rate. A business that answers calls within 5 minutes and follows up on every lead can push close rates to 40-50%, which would increase the ROI from -50% to -25% or higher.

Factors That Affect HVAC Google Ads ROI in Denver

  • Quality Score: Google rewards relevant ads with lower CPCs. A Quality Score of 8+ can reduce your cost per click by 20-30% compared to the $18.00 average, directly increasing ROI.
  • Landing page conversion rate: The 7% benchmark assumes a purpose-built landing page. Sending traffic to a generic homepage typically converts at 2-3%, cutting lead volume by more than half.
  • Negative keywords: Without negative keyword management,hvac campaigns in Denver typically waste 15-25% of budget on irrelevant searches like “hvac jobs” or “hvac salary.”
  • Seasonal demand: HVAC demand in Denver peaks during July, August, June (50% above average). Increasing budget during peak months concentrates spend when intent is highest.
  • Competition level: Denver is a medium-competition market for hvac. CPCs are moderate, and there is room to capture share with well-optimized campaigns.

Related Questions

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